Monday, May 5, 2014

Bold Calls – "Trade Frenzy" - On the surface these might seem like a reach, but after I qualify them they might seem more realistic.

Three Four reasons why… 3 Trades will happen in the first 6 picks
1.       Every team in the top 6 have many roster holes. Trading down makes sense in the deepest draft class EVER.
2.       Relative to other draft classes, this year’s crop of top prospects are seen as extremely safe picks. So why not push in your chips on a sure thing?
3.       There is a slight drop off after the top guys. It’s the difference between plugging a need and having a dynamic game changer.
4.       The top 6 teams have been rumored in a lot of potential scenarios, may it be self-generated or league-wide rumors. As mentioned in the Detroit scenario above, it can be misdirected smoke-screen generation.

At least four 2015 1st Round Picks will exchange hands between Thursday and Friday.
This will easily change the dynamics of this draft. Teams that lack trade assets this year, will tap into future 1s. As said over-and-over again, by anyone and everyone, this year’s draft class is the best ever. Teams will be itching to mortgage future 1st rounders. Besides, trading a “next year’s” 1st is always devalued due to the lack of immediate return… but for a rebuilding organization they are pure gold.

Detroit trades up to grab Khalil Mack, not Mike Evans
All the rumors of the Lions wanting to trade up for a WR smells like rancid garbage. Out is Scott Linehan’s pass-happy offense, and in is HC Jim Caldwell’s ball control offense. Tack on the addition of Golden Tate, to play opposite Calvin Johnson, why would they need to trade up for a premier WR? My guess, is that they are on the 2-3 year plan to switch to the 34. DC Teryl Austin is the former Baltimore Ravens secondary coach and could see Mack as a key cog for a future transition. This feels like a good possibility as they haven’t been eager to extend the contracts of Suh and Fairley at DT, which I can’t blame them. I just don’t think that the production will never meet the requisite sticker price to keep these guys.

2 comments:

  1. There's a lot of steam connecting Manziel to the Rams. You buying this?

    I'm kinda not... Feels too much like the "Morris Claiborne-Vikings" rumors 2 years ago. This seems like STL trying to get more picks and creating value for #2. And they've been so active in trading back the last couple years... more of the same?

    I am buying the "Texans want to trade out of #1" hype. I think HOU wants a QB and doesn't feel like the can/should take one at #1 with Clowney there. This isn't based on anything, just a hunch.

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  2. Personally, I feel that this rumor as zero merit. I would be shocked if it materialized. This is likely all due to increasing trade buzz. With Manziel being an option to JAC at 3, CLE at 4, OAK at 5... why not try to get an offer (for something) and still net a top 10 pick? Media keeps on hinting toward Jeff Fischer's history with Vince Young when at Tennessee. But ownership was the only reason why VY was selected, Fischer was never on board with the pick. The other tasty tid-bit is that Sam Bradford's contract is coming to an end and he hasn't been spectacular. But that doesn't mean he isn't a top 15 QB in the NFL. And because Manziel has boom or bust, written all over him... he might not even be starter worthy.

    I say buy your rumors elsewhere.

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